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Macroeconomic Relevance of Measured Beliefs Conference
Friday, May 8, 2026, 8:00 am - Saturday, May 9, 2026, 2:00 pm
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The Program for Economic Research (PER) and the Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP), with faculty organizer Professor Hassan Afrouzi (Columbia University), are pleased to present the Macroeconomic Relevance of Measured Beliefs Conference, as follows.
Date: May 8-9, 2026 Venue: SIPA, 15th Floor (Room 1512), Columbia University
Schedule
Day 1: May 8, 2026
| 8:00am – 9:00am: | Registration and Light Breakfast (provided) | |
| 9:00am – 9:50am: | “Setting the Wrong Price for the Right Reason: Consequences of Mispricing for Inflation and Monetary Policy” Luminita Stevens (University of Maryland) | |
| 9:50am – 10:10am: | Break | |
| 10:10am – 11:00am: | “The Causal Effects of Heterogeneous Expectation Formation in General Equilibrium” Alistair Macaulay (University of Surrey) | |
| 11:00am – 11:20am: | Break | |
| 11:20am – 12:10pm: | “Forecasting with Uncertain Persistence” Joel Flynn (Yale University) | |
| 12:10pm – 1:30pm: | Lunch (provided) | |
| 1:30pm – 2:20pm: | “Attention to the Macroeconomy” Oliver Pfauti (University of Texas at Austin) | |
| 2:20pm – 2:40pm: | Break | |
| 2:40pm – 3:30pm: | “Costly Attention and Retirement” Jamie Hentall-MacCuish (HEC Paris) | |
| 3:30pm – 3:50pm: | Break | |
| 3:50pm – 4:40pm: | “Attention-Dependent Monetary Transmission to Household Beliefs” Choongryul Yang (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta) | |
| 4:40pm – 5:00pm: | Break | |
| 5:00pm – 6:00pm: | Keynote – “Measuring Worker Preparedness in the Copenhagen Life Panel” Andrew Caplin (New York University) | |
| 7:00pm | Dinner (Invitation Only) |
Day 2: May 9, 2026
| 8:00am – 9:00am: | Light Breakfast (provided) | |
| 9:00am – 9:50am: | “Ricardian Non-Equivalence” Joao Guerreiro (University of California, Los Angeles) | |
| 9:50am – 10:10am: | Break | |
| 10:10am – 11:00am: | “Beliefs from Cues” Spencer Kwon (Brown University) | |
| 11:00am – 11:20am: | Break | |
| 11:20am – 12:10pm: | “Beliefs about the Economy are Excessively Sensitive to Household-level Shocks: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data” Chen Lian (University of California, Berkeley) | |
| 12:10pm – 2:00pm: | Lunch & Adjourn |
Please note that attendance to this event is by invitation-only
1022 International Affairs Building (IAB)
Mail Code 3308
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
Ph: (212) 854-3680
Fax: (212) 854-0749
Business Hours:
Mon–Fri, 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m.
1022 International Affairs Building (IAB)
Mail Code 3308
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
Ph: (212) 854-3680
Fax: (212) 854-0749
Business Hours:
Mon–Fri, 9:00 a.m.–5:00 p.m.