Macroeconomic Relevance of Measured Beliefs Conference

The Program for Economic Research (PER) and the Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy (ISERP), with faculty organizer Professor Hassan Afrouzi (Columbia University), is pleased to present the Macroeconomic Relevance of Measured Beliefs Conference, as follows.  Date: May 8-9, 2026 Venue: SIPA, 15th Floor (Room 1512), Columbia University

Preliminary Schedule

Day 1: May 8, 2026 8:00am: Registration and Light Breakfast (provided)  9:00am – 9:50am: TBD: Luminita Stevens (University of Maryland) 9:50am – 10:10am: Break 10:10am – 11:00am: The Causal Effects of Heterogeneous Expectation Formation in General Equilibrium: Alistair Macaulay (University of Surrey) 11:00am – 11:20am: Break 11:20am – 12:10pm Forecasting with Uncertain Persistence: Joel Flynn (Yale University) 12:10pm – 1:30pm: Lunch (provided) 1:30pm – 2:20pm: Attention to the Macroeconomy: Oliver Pfauti (University of Texas at Austin) 2:20pm – 2:40pm: Break 2:40pm – 3:30pm: Costly Attention and Retirement: Jamie Hentall-MacCuish (HEC Paris) 3:30pm – 3:50pm: Break 3:50pm – 4:40pm: Attention-Dependent Monetary Transmission to Household Beliefs: Choongryul Yang (Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta) 4:40pm – 5:00pm: Break 5pm-6pm: Keynote – Measuring Worker Preparedness in the Copenhagen Life Panel: Andrew Caplin (New York University)   7pm: Dinner (Invitation Only) Day 2: May 9, 2026 8:00am: Light Breakfast (provided) 9:00am – 9:50am: Ricardian Non-Equivalence: Joao Guerreiro (University of California, Los Angeles) 9:50am – 10:10am: Break 10:10am – 11:00am: Beliefs from Cues: Spencer Kwon (Brown University) 11:00am – 11:20am: Break 11:20am – 12:10pm: Beliefs about the Economy are Excessively Sensitive to Household-level Shocks: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data: Chen Lian (University of California, Berkeley) 12:10pm – 2:00pm: Lunch & Adjourn   Please note that attendance to this event is by invitation only.